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Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World

ISBN10: 0072311355 | ISBN13: 9780072311358

Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World
ISBN10: 0072311355
ISBN13: 9780072311358
By John Sterman

* The estimated amount of time this product will be on the market is based on a number of factors, including faculty input to instructional design and the prior revision cycle and updates to academic research-which typically results in a revision cycle ranging from every two to four years for this product. Pricing subject to change at any time.

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Today’s leading authority on the subject is the author, MIT Standish Professor of Management and Director of the System Dynamics Group, John D. Sterman. Sterman’s objective is to explain, in a true textbook format, what system dynamics is, and how it can be successfully applied to solve business and organizational problems. System dynamics is both a currently utilized approach to organizational problem-solving at the professional level, and a field of study in business, engineering, and social and physical sciences.

INTRODUCTION

PART I. PERSPECTIVE AND PROCESS

1. LEARNING IN AND ABOUT COMPLEX SYSTEMS

2. SYSTEM DYNAMICS IN ACTION

3. THE MODELING PROCESS4. STRUCTURE AND BEHAVIOR OF DYNAMIC SYSTEMS

PART II. TOOLS FOR SYSTEMS THINKING

5. CAUSAL LOOP DIAGRAMS

6. STOCKS AND FLOWS

7. DYNAMICS OF STOCKS AND FLOWS

8. CLOSING THE LOOP: DYNAMICS OF SIMPLE STRUCTURES

PART III. THE DYNAMICS OF GROWTH

9. S-SHAPED GROWTH: EPIDEMICS, INNOVATION DIFFUSION, AND THE GROWTH OF NEW PRODUCTS

10. PATH DEPENDENCE AND POSITIVE FEEDBACK

PART IV. TOOLS FOR MODELING DYNAMIC SYSTEMS

11. DELAYS

12. CO-FLOWS AND AGING CHAINS

13. MODELING HUMAN BEHAVIOR: BOUNDED RATIONALITY OR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS

14. FORECASTS AND FUDGE FACTORS: MODELING EXPECTATION FORMATION

PART V. INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION

15. SUPPLY CHAINS AND THE ORIGIN OF OSCILLATIONS

16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING

17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES

18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLES

VALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING

APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATION

APPENDIX B: NOISE

REFERENCES

INDEX

About the Author

John Sterman

John Sterman (Lexington, MA) teaches at the Sloan School of Management and direct MIT's System Dynamics Group.

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