Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World with CD-ROM
1st EditionISBN10: 007238915X
ISBN13: 9780072389159
Copyright: 2000
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ISBN10: 007238915X | ISBN13: 9780072389159
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The estimated amount of time this product will be on the market is based on a number of factors, including faculty input to instructional design and the prior revision cycle and updates to academic research-which typically results in a revision cycle ranging from every two to four years for this product. Pricing subject to change at any time.
Program Details
Introduction
Part I. Perspective and Process
1. Learning In and About Complex Systems
2. System Dynamics In Action
3. The Modeling Process
4. Structure and Behavior of Dynamic Systems
Part II. Tools for Systems Thinking
5. Causal Loop Diagrams
6. Stocks and Flows
7. Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
1. Learning In and About Complex Systems
2. System Dynamics In Action
3. The Modeling Process
4. Structure and Behavior of Dynamic Systems
Part II. Tools for Systems Thinking
5. Causal Loop Diagrams
6. Stocks and Flows
7. Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
3. The Modeling Process
4. Structure and Behavior of Dynamic Systems
Part II. Tools for Systems Thinking
5. Causal Loop Diagrams
6. Stocks and Flows
7. Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
Part II. Tools for Systems Thinking
5. Causal Loop Diagrams
6. Stocks and Flows
7. Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
6. Stocks and Flows
7. Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
References
Index
Introduction
Part I. Perspective and Process
1. Learning In and About Complex Systems
2. System Dynamics In Action
3. The Modeling Process
4. Structure and Behavior of Dynamic Systems
Part II. Tools for Systems Thinking
5. Causal Loop Diagrams
6. Stocks and Flows
7. Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
1. Learning In and About Complex Systems
2. System Dynamics In Action
3. The Modeling Process
4. Structure and Behavior of Dynamic Systems
Part II. Tools for Systems Thinking
5. Causal Loop Diagrams
6. Stocks and Flows
7. Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
3. The Modeling Process
4. Structure and Behavior of Dynamic Systems
Part II. Tools for Systems Thinking
5. Causal Loop Diagrams
6. Stocks and Flows
7. Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
Part II. Tools for Systems Thinking
5. Causal Loop Diagrams
6. Stocks and Flows
7. Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
6. Stocks and Flows
7. Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
8. Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures
Part III. The Dynamics of Growth
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
9. S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products
10. Path Dependence and Positive Feedback
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
Part IV. Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems
11. Delays
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
12. Coflows and Aging Chains
13. Modeling Decision Making
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
14. Forming Non-linear Relationships
Part V. Instability and Oscillation
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
15. Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
16. Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
17. Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations
18. Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
19. The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles
20. The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
Part VI. Validation and Model Testing
21. Truth and Beauty
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
Part VII. Commencement
22. Challenges for the Future
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
Appendix A: Numerical Integration
Appendix B: Noise
References
Index
References
Index
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